Am I imagining things?

[groundloop]

I used to have a commercial pilots license, and currently live on a lake and take my boat out frequently, so over the years I've come to depend on accurate weather forecasts. As time went progressed I've seen weather forecasting get better and better as our weather scientists learned more and had better forecasting tools.

Now, suddenly, it seems to me that weather forecast accuracy has taken a hit. Some days are forecast to have light wind yet when that day comes the wind is howling. Sometimes there might be a forecast for overcast skies (good for fishing) but when the day arrives there's not a cloud in the sky.

Maybe I'm imagining things, but since Eloon forced NOAA to cut back on data gathering it seems like weather forecasting has become less accurate. Is it just me?

[bif]

1. I haven't noticed any change

Here in the Detroit area. And weather forecasting in the Great Lakes region is quite difficult.

[WhiskeyGrinder]

2. Our NWS has talked over the past few years about how the climate crisis has come on so quickly that it interferes with

old reliable forecasting models. In my area, increasingly inaccurate forecasts have been especially noticeable over the past three or four years. I live in Northern Minnesota, on Lake Superior.

[GusBob]

6. We are sorta neighbors

Northern Wisconsin, just moved here x 1yr. I have noticed that the weather forecasts are off. I thought it was just due to wild fluctuations with the climate here, as in my previous place of residence ( Montana) the forecast tools were very accurate.

The weather app on my phone is way off, I think that is an "Accu-weather" model. The NWS site is more accurate but fluctuates quite a bit

My NWS feed may be the same as yours, Duluth?

[WhiskeyGrinder]

7. I always just stick with NWS and take the weather app on my phone with a grain of salt. Next to the big lake, there

can be a wide range of variation in temps and cloud cover compared to even a few blocks away.

Welcome to the region! I assume you probably get NWS out of Duluth.

[GusBob]

8. Yes Duluth

we are 60 miles south of superior

[WhiskeyGrinder]

9. You're catching some bumps today!

[FirstLight]

3. I dont know about forecasting... but

I seem to recall NOAA was hit by DOGE... It's such a blur, I'd have to look it up.

[c-rational]

4. I agree and commented the same yesterday.

[intheflow]

5. I have noticed this, and I wonder if there are regional targets.

I'm in liberal New England, so maybe Trump's minions are instructed to give the minimal or even false info about our weather.

[intheflow]

10. Welp, I'm gonna say, nope.

https://archive.is/20250417180336/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-17/us-weather-analysis-for-21-states-goes-dark-after-funding-lapse#selection-1595.0-1595.171

[groundloop]

12. DAMN!!!!!! That's a shame.

I hadn't heard that before. Now I'm more convinced than ever that the GQP's plan is to privatize our weather data gathering, forecasting, extreme weather warnings, etc. etc.

Instead of tuning my weather radio to the nearest NOAA broadcast I'll be paying a subscription fee to get severe weather warnings.

[Prairie_Seagull]

11. Maybe it's just spring but I have noticed quicker changes to my NWS

forecasts. Even in the 2 day time frame. The weather is weird and more dangerous anyway these days so possibly climate change based. That said i have noticed something.

[Skittles]

13. I have noticed that too

forecasts seem almost generic in nature

keep in mind that if repukes have their way, we will all be PAYING for forecasts