General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIn case nobody noticed, the US Dollar is CRASHING....
https://www.investing.com/currencies/us-dollar-indexClick on the 3 month view.
Destroy the US Economy: Check.
A weak dollar refers to a downward price trend in the value of the U.S. dollar relative to other foreign currencies. The most commonly compared currency is the Euro, so if the Euro is rising in price compared to the dollar, the dollar is said to be weakening at that time. Essentially, a weak dollar means that a U.S. dollar can be exchanged for smaller amounts of foreign currency. The effect of this is that goods priced in U.S. dollars, as well as goods produced in non-US countries, become more expensive to U.S. consumers.
For an in depth dive: ?feature=shared

hlthe2b
(109,274 posts)
Response to getagrip_already (Original post)
Mosby This message was self-deleted by its author.
getagrip_already
(17,678 posts)Exports are also crashing.
yardwork
(66,327 posts)Trump has alienated all our allies and trading partners. Canadians are boycotting US goods. China is buying beef from Australia.
Basically, any democracy that has other options will choose to trade with other countries and snub the U.S. Citizens of other democracies will shun U.S. goods.
Russia, North Korea and Iran aren't great markets.
Response to yardwork (Reply #4)
Mosby This message was self-deleted by its author.
yardwork
(66,327 posts)I'm happy for Apple. The weak dollar and special rules for Apple re Chinese tariffs make this a terrific time to be Apple or own Apple stock.
But there are a lot more companies that will be hurt by all this.
EYESORE 9001
(28,100 posts)February 2025: $122.7B deficit.
https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-february-2025
getagrip_already
(17,678 posts)Companies are reporting net drops in exports. Some may be up, but many more are down.
dutch777
(4,328 posts)...of the tariffs and counter reaction by other countries and their people to them, it is lunacy in economic terms. Navarro, Lutnick and company assumed that they could institute tariffs with little to no push back. They were stupid to think that and all seemingly missed that even if Trump succeeds in brow beating other governments to lower their trade barriers, that only has value if the businesses and consumers in those countries still want to buy American. The likely outcome is some barriers will be lowered but due to the bad faith way the US is going about this whole thing, a US label will be the last thing anyone wants on their goods or services purchases going forward. Trump seems to think we have lots of stuff no one else can make or make as good as us. Nothing could be further from the truth and it is whimsical thinking at best.
Dreamer Tatum
(10,948 posts)And should help US employment, to boot.
WarGamer
(16,990 posts)Quixote1818
(30,938 posts)1. Global Supply Chains Are Sticky
Many products are made with global parts and long-term contracts, so buying habits dont change quickly.
U.S. manufacturers often rely on imported materials, so higher costs can blunt any export advantage.
2. Inelastic Demand for Key Imports
The U.S. imports lots of energy, electronics, and pharmaceuticalsmany of which people keep buying regardless of price increases.
3. Foreign Producers May Eat the Cost
Foreign companies might lower their own prices to stay competitive, absorbing the currency shift rather than losing market share.
4. Currency Wars & Rebalancing
Other countries may weaken their currencies in response to maintain their own export competitiveness, negating the dollars decline.
5. The U.S. Consumer Appetite
U.S. consumers and businesses have a strong demand for foreign goods. Even if they get more expensive, that demand might not shrink fast enough to narrow the trade gap.
In the early 2000s, the dollar fell for several years but the trade deficit still widened for quite a while. It took years before any improvement was noticeable.
Blue Full Moon
(2,064 posts)gab13by13
(27,797 posts)Blue Full Moon
(2,064 posts)They kept saying it was going to protect their wealth while destroying the rest of US financially. El Salvador was their test. No records of what is being purchased.
IrishBubbaLiberal
(1,503 posts)Its just not that big of a deal.
Look at the 5-year chart
Look at the 10-year chart
https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/
getagrip_already
(17,678 posts)Foreign investment in anything based on the US dollar is in shambles. It is affecting far more than the cost of our exports.
In context with the trade war, the fed chair attacks, a recession rapidly setting in, and this precipitous drop in the dollar, all point to a crisis of confidence in the us economy.
This drop is sudden, and it may not have a bottom as foreign investors look to cut their losses. It can be a cascading runaway.
Let's say you are a european investor and you put 1.15M Euro's into US markets in January. Your 1.15 M Euro's would be worth ~$1.15M. Even if the investment held steady, right now that investment would only be worth 1M Euro's.
Poof. And there doesn't appear to be a bottom.
Fluctuations do happen over time - slowly, and there are compensating controls which apparently don't exist at the moment.
This can really hurt our economy overall, even if a few exports do better.
Dreamer Tatum
(10,948 posts)Quixote1818
(30,938 posts)The U.S. Dollar surged in 2022 and peaked around 114 in September 2022, the highest level in 20+ years.
The dollar began to weaken in late 2022 / 2023. While there was no "crash", the dollar pulled back from its peak
Dreamer Tatum
(10,948 posts)Initech
(104,544 posts)It's absolutely infuriating that Fuck Face and Fox News continue to get away with it. We have to pry Fox News' iron grip on our country now.
GreatGazoo
(4,135 posts)To oversimplify: Oil is down so the USD is down.
The EUR will likely fall as Ukraine collapses and the EU announces new taxes and bonds to pay for war toys. Meanwhile if the Iran conflict goes hot the USD will rise with oil. It's all a nasty game. A good time to be in gold.
kentuck
(113,546 posts)Just think of all the money. $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$