Nobel Peace Prize embroiled in betting scandal: Probe launched after outsider beat Trump

[4th]

Nobel Peace Prize embroiled in betting scandal: Probe launched after outsider beat Trump
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15182077/Nobel-Peace-Prize-betting-scandal-probe-launched-complete-unknown-beat-Trump.html

The Nobel Peace Prize has become mired in scandal after suspicious bets were placed before a longshot was announced as the winner.

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado was an obscure candidate just 12 hours before she was announced as winner on Friday.

Her victory stunned the world after Donald Trump secured a peace deal in Gaza, ending a two-year war that has killed more than 70,000 people.

Machado had just a 5 percent chance of claiming victory, according to prediction market Polymarket.

But then a buying spree, from a newly created account '6741', rocketed her chances to 70 percent. That trader made more than $50,000 in profit.

Another, 'GayPride,' also got in on the action, placing a series of bets after Machado's chances had shot up and earned more than $85,000, Polymarket data shows.

A third, 'dirtycup', wagered around $70,000 just hours before the prize was announced, earning $30,000.

'We take this very seriously,' Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute, told Bloomberg. 'It seems we have been prey to a criminal actor who wants to earn money on our information.'

...

[Lovie777]

1. Bull shit.................

[TheBlackAdder]

2. Trump alienates and angers the whole non-dictatorial world and that foments peace?

He causes untold death and disease by cutting USAid and medical support to emerging and impoverished countries around the globe and wants one half-assed implemented Biden plan to give him a Peace Prize?

[intrepidity]

3. I wonder if they gave Trump a "courtesy" heads-up?

This would certainly fit his MO.

[yardwork]

4. LOL bullshit!

[canetoad]

5. The Daily Mail

Is not a reliable source of truthful news, so the chances are they made all or part of this up out of thin air.

It's just like them to link something good and honourable to a "betting scandal".

[muriel_volestrangler]

9. They give the quote coming via Bloomberg who seems to have had this story first in English

The Guardian also has it, and refers to the Bloomberg quote: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/10/nobel-peace-prize-bets-polymarket

Archive of the Bloomberg article https://archive.ph/yC3EY which says

The story was first reported by local newspapers Aftenposten and Finansavisen. Three accounts at Polymarket that had mainly placed bets on Machado, made a combined profit of about $90,000, according to Finansavisen.

The Guardian just mentions Trump as earlier being behind Yulia Navalnaya, the economist and widow of former Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, who had been an earlier(individual) favourite. Bloomberg has a graph showing that - and also notes

Polymarket agreed with regulators to stop serving US-based users in 2022 because it wasn’t a registered exchange. A week after the 2024 presidential election, one that Polymarket users wagered more than $3 billion on, its founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment was raided by FBI agents.
After Trump took office, the federal probe was dropped, although Polymarket, still doesn’t allow US residents to trade on its website

[4th]

10. I certainly don't believe the story ...

... but I don't think The Daily Fail made it up. Most likely someone fed it to them.

Also -- This is the prize for 2024, when Trump wasn't even in office yet.

But the real story is that this is a story.

Again I say ==>

[Sogo]

6. Whenever, wherever he's involved, the suspicion of corruption follows.

nt

[Diraven]

7. Trump has no real chance of winning

It's weird how they frame this like it was a forgone conclusion that Trump would definitely win prize. No one except the right wing media and his cult really believed that.

[C_U_L8R]

8. Trump has ended zero wars

Total bullshit article.