Iran Doesn't Have To Win. It Just Has To Outlast America.

[SamuelAdams]

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Iran Doesn’t Have to Win. It Just Has to Outlast America.

Momocracy

Everyone is asking who is winning.

I think we’re asking the wrong question.

Iran doesn’t have to defeat the United States militarily. It only has to make the conflict expensive enough, politically difficult enough, and long enough that ending it becomes harder than continuing it.

In this video, I break down:
• Why this conflict could become a forever war.
• The strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz.
• Why military superiority doesn’t always produce political victory.
• The psychology of escalation, sunk costs, and why governments struggle to end wars.
• What history from Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan can teach us about where this conflict could be headed.

This isn’t about rooting for either side. It’s about understanding how wars evolve—and why some of the most dangerous ones become normalized before people realize what’s happening.

If you enjoy psychology, geopolitics, and deep analysis of current events, subscribe for more.

[Bayard]

1. Its not going to end,

Until Dems are back in power, and actually know how to sensibly negotiate. Of course, at this point, trump may have screwed that up forever. I don't suppose we could pull John Kerry out of retirement.

[SamuelTheThird]

3. Really, what can Dems do?

The 'negotiation' would be Iran maintaining control of the Strait and the consequences that flow from that.

Once the trigger was pulled, no solution was ever going to be forthcoming. This can not be solved at this point.

[Johonny]

2. Iran has a strategy and a goal

Trump has no strategy and no goals...

[Boo1]

4. I said this on the day of the first strikes

Iran can't go toe to toe with the US in a full out war. But they don't have to. Trump doesn't have the stomach for a real war and thinks he can just bomb his way to victory. All Iran had to do was apply economic pressure in an election year, and they had an easy mechanism to do it with the strait.