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RandySF

(79,072 posts)
Thu Oct 9, 2025, 07:05 PM Oct 9

Cuomo climbs 10% in new poll, but still trails Mamdani after Adams' NYC mayoral race exit

Mayor Adams’ exit from this year’s race for City Hall is benefitting independent candidate Andrew Cuomo, though the ex-governor still trails Democratic front-runner Zohran Mamdani by double digits, according to a new poll released Thursday.

The Quinnipiac University poll, the first major survey to analyze the state of the mayoral race since Adams’ Sept. 28 campaign exit, found Cuomo pulling 33% support among likely New York City voters. That’s up from the 23% Cuomo netted in a Quinnipiac survey from early September, when Adams was still in the race and polling at 12%.

Still, Cuomo, who resigned as governor in 2021 amid sexual and professional misconduct accusations he now denies, remains well behind Mamdani, the Democratic mayoral nominee who scored 46% support in the latest Quinnipiac poll, up one point from the September survey.

“Andrew Cuomo picked up the bulk of Adams’ supporters cutting into Zohran Mamdani’s lead, but Mamdani’s frontrunner status by double digits stays intact,” said Mary Snow, an assistant polling director at Quinnipiac.

Republican mayoral nominee Curtis Sliwa, the only other major candidate in the race, raked in 15% support in the new survey, the same figure he got in the September poll.



https://www.nydailynews.com/2025/10/09/cuomo-climbs-10-in-new-poll-but-still-trails-mamdani-after-adams-nyc-mayoral-race-exit/

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Cuomo climbs 10% in new poll, but still trails Mamdani after Adams' NYC mayoral race exit (Original Post) RandySF Oct 9 OP
Important note: There is no runoff Bluetus Oct 9 #1
Depends RandySF Oct 9 #2
Sep 11 was the deadline Bluetus Oct 9 #3
Zohran Mamdani is going to be a great mayor of NYC! Emile Oct 10 #4

Bluetus

(1,783 posts)
1. Important note: There is no runoff
Thu Oct 9, 2025, 08:37 PM
Oct 9

Last edited Thu Oct 9, 2025, 09:23 PM - Edit history (1)

Plurality wins. So now that the two "Anybody but Mamdani" candidates have consolidated to a single candidate, where is Cuomo going to get the other 14% he needs? The Republican only gets 15%. Does anybody think that 98% of the Republican voters are going to swing to Cuomo?

Does anybody think people are going to be more enthusiastic about voting for Cuomo than Mamdani's voters?

Does anybody think Mamdani is going to lose his support in the last 27 days? How is that going to happen? By running a bunch of ads saying Mamdani is a commie? They have already tried that.

RandySF

(79,072 posts)
2. Depends
Thu Oct 9, 2025, 09:19 PM
Oct 9

If Sliwa quits and his supporters adopt an Anyone But Mamdani attitude, the odds shift significantly.

Bluetus

(1,783 posts)
3. Sep 11 was the deadline
Thu Oct 9, 2025, 09:28 PM
Oct 9

to be removed from the ballot. So Adams and Silwa will be on the ballot whether they like it or not. No way Cuomo gets all of the Adams votes. Many will go ahead and vote for Adams if he is on the ballot.

Likewise, if Silwa quits, his name is still on the ballot, so most Republican voters will still vote for him.

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