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bucolic_frolic

(49,966 posts)
Thu Apr 10, 2025, 03:31 PM Apr 10

BREAKING: Fed Preps $2T Bailout as Hedge Fund Trade Implodes


Apr 9, 2025 ITM Trading Podcast
A $1.8 trillion hedge fund trade is collapsing and very few in the media are talking about it. As Treasury markets break and liquidity vanishes, the Fed is quietly preparing a multi-trillion-dollar bailout. But this isn’t just a Wall Street story. If you have savings, a 401(k), or rely on the strength of the dollar, this crisis could hit closer to home than you think—especially if the system turns to bail-ins to contain the fallout. Watch now to understand what’s unfolding and how it could impact your financial future.

__________
I'm not familiar with ITM Trading YouTube channel. But this sounds like a reasonable analysis to me. Posted not to spook anyone, and don't just take them at their word, but what do you think?
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
BREAKING: Fed Preps $2T Bailout as Hedge Fund Trade Implodes (Original Post) bucolic_frolic Apr 10 OP
How long before Turnip is bragging his economic bailout "is bigger than Obama's" ?? nt eppur_se_muova Apr 10 #1
Hedge Fund SleeplessinSoCal Apr 10 #2
ugh... progressoid Apr 10 #3
Just a small comment lonely bird Apr 10 #4
Go into a coin or pawn shop and you'll pay about a 10% premium on it. multigraincracker Apr 10 #5
all day! mahina Monday #10
Not clicking Both the 10 year Treasury note auction (yesterday) & 30 year (today) were robust Bernardo de La Paz Apr 11 #6
save gamblers? pansypoo53219 Apr 11 #7
lol, yes that could be true bucolic_frolic Monday #12
you can't eat gold. pansypoo53219 Monday #13
I'm guessing at my own OP but they're a precious metals company bucolic_frolic Apr 11 #8
what would make sense to do w cash in money market funds, either in Vanguard or Fidelity please?? mahina Monday #9
That's a common concern these days bucolic_frolic Monday #11
Thank you!!! mahina Monday #14
Thank you for that celebration! Catchy tune, memorable, bookmarked. bucolic_frolic Monday #15
100% read you, mahalo. mahina Monday #16
My Dad used to ride in the 40ʻs and sometimes the bus driver would say, "oh itʻs such a nice day, letʻs go beach!". So mahina Monday #17

SleeplessinSoCal

(10,043 posts)
2. Hedge Fund
Thu Apr 10, 2025, 03:34 PM
Apr 10

"A hedge fund is a pooled investment fund that holds liquid assets and that makes use of complex trading and risk management techniques to aim to improve investment performance and insulate returns from market risk. Among these portfolio techniques are short selling and the use of leverage and derivative instruments."

For my sake.

lonely bird

(2,266 posts)
4. Just a small comment
Thu Apr 10, 2025, 04:18 PM
Apr 10

Gold and silver are not outside the political economy. The political economy establishes the value of gold and silver.

multigraincracker

(35,478 posts)
5. Go into a coin or pawn shop and you'll pay about a 10% premium on it.
Thu Apr 10, 2025, 05:56 PM
Apr 10

Then take it to another shop and they'll take at least another 20% to 30% off of the spot price when they buy it from you. Try it and see.
I would guess buying scrap copper might be a better investment.

Bernardo de La Paz

(54,850 posts)
6. Not clicking Both the 10 year Treasury note auction (yesterday) & 30 year (today) were robust
Fri Apr 11, 2025, 12:21 AM
Apr 11

There was robust demand at both auctions, thus it is likely there is NO liquidity crisis.

bucolic_frolic

(49,966 posts)
12. lol, yes that could be true
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 06:06 AM
Monday

Sadly gold is up about 30% since November, without looking at the graphs from about $2700 to $3300 an ounce. Their hype is working, gotta give them that.

bucolic_frolic

(49,966 posts)
8. I'm guessing at my own OP but they're a precious metals company
Fri Apr 11, 2025, 06:39 AM
Apr 11

so probably trying to juice the metals with a lot of hype to sell more at higher prices. Always the game. She seems knowledgeable but is it a script and delivery, or is it knowledge? These money channels always mimic CNBC anchors.

mahina

(19,706 posts)
9. what would make sense to do w cash in money market funds, either in Vanguard or Fidelity please??
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 12:48 AM
Monday

I was looking for a way to invest in some other stable country like Switzerland or maybe in euro. I wish I understood these things better. I realize it's not wise to take investment advice from some unknown person on the Internet, but I feel like I know who to trust here so thanks for entertaining my question. Aloha.

bucolic_frolic

(49,966 posts)
11. That's a common concern these days
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 06:04 AM
Monday

I suggest watching the two most recent WealthTrack interviews, they discuss the current situation pretty well. https://wealthtrack.com/

Their interviews are solid, but not often timely advice partly because they're taped a week in advance. (Odd how we still 'tape' interviews, but that's another matter.) I've fared so-so in bond funds prob because I don't use them much. But there are funds of various duration, and also bond funds of bond funds that have been steady if unspectacular. Such diversity is not volatile. I once got clobbered in emerging market bond fund.

International stock funds have held up better than domestic value/growth for me. So like you I'm tweaking around the edges. I like funds that are transparent about who manages them, their strategy, risk, and performance over time. Large cap, growth, medium risk are not details. Investing is not a chyron game.

mahina

(19,706 posts)
14. Thank you!!!
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 06:41 PM
Monday

Last edited Mon Apr 21, 2025, 08:35 PM - Edit history (1)

I hesitated to even ask a question because for the last six months or so the answers have always included a healthy peppering of “donʻt trust anybody on the Internet for financial advice”, but I don’t understand these things at all and when I try to read it, it’s like trying to decipher hieroglyphs while sinking in quicksand. (Alien hieroglyphics. Upside down.)

Anyhow, I am thankful for your recommendations. I will go read it. I have to say I don’t think politics is a Chyron game anymore either, that’s why we are in trouble, because they’re great at reducing an idea to the most monosyllabic brain probe that pokes at fear and identity, but we say “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” and, things are freaking complicated you know?

I’m thankful for you. I appreciate your patience and willingness to help me understand things. With aloha!

?si=jqSkzA-9gQwlB_Y_

bucolic_frolic

(49,966 posts)
15. Thank you for that celebration! Catchy tune, memorable, bookmarked.
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 06:54 PM
Monday

Be cautious out there. Read. Knowledge is power, and there are other opinions as well. One of the recent interviews on that site the guy is in 100% cash, bank or money funds, because of the year we're facing. 3% might be pretty good when the world is melting.

Thanks again!

mahina

(19,706 posts)
16. 100% read you, mahalo.
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 08:33 PM
Monday
?si=Xr658-iE5W-InOMk

https://www.huapala.org/Po/Poe_Koa.html
Poʻe Koa O Niʻihau - by Kalai Kanahele

Aloha ka poʻe koa aʻo Niʻihau
Noho `ana i ka uluwehi ka poli a`o waiü

Eia mākou ke kiaʻi nei
No ka pono o ke aupuni aʻo ʻAmelika

Hoʻoholo mai ʻoe i kāhi mīkini
No ke kāhea ʻana aku i Kauaʻi

Haʻina ʻia mai ana ka puana
Noho ʻana i ka uluwehi ka poli aʻo Waiū

Haʻina ʻia mai ana ka puana
Aloha ka poʻe koa aʻo Niʻihau

Haʻina ʻia mai ana ka puana
Ua kokua mai nei a ka Mākua Lani
Love of the soldiers of Niʻihau
Who live in the heart of Waiū

We are here guarding
For the protection of our country America

We start the machine to operate the radio
To make the daily call to Kauaʻi

The end of my story
Who live in the heart of Waiū

The end of my story
Of the love of the soldiers of Niʻihau

The end of my story
With the help of God
During World War II, an outpost was suggested for the island of Ni`ihau. The outpost called Waiu remained for the duration of the war

?si=7lLoC_RiV5Dbs62x
Ka Māmakakaua - by Palani Vaughn

Ua ala a kūʻe! Kūʻe! Kūʻe!
Ka māmakakaua hanohano! Kūʻe!
Ua ala a kūʻe! Kūʻe! Kūʻe!
Ka mâmakakaua Loialiki! Kūʻe!
Kūʻe! Kūʻe!

Ka māmakakaua!
(Nā Loialiki koa)!
Kipū Lani!
(Ka māmakakaua)!
Ka māmakakaua!
(Kūpaʻa mahope)!
Kūpaʻa mahope!
(O ka ʻāina)!
Ua ala a kūʻe! Kūʻe!

Ka pūkaua koa!
(ʻO Wilikoki wiwoʻole)!
Me Lopaka Poe!
(A me nā koa Loialiki)!
Ka māmakakaua! (I hōʻikaika hoʻi)!
E hoʻihoʻi i nā pono! (O Kalākaua)!
Nā Loialiki! Kūʻe! Kūʻe!

Ka māmakakaua!
(Me nā pālule ʻula)!
Maloko a ka pā!
(O Hale Aliʻi ʻIolani)!
Ka māmakakaua!
(I paio wiwoʻole)!
Kūʻe i ka ʻenemi! (O Ka Mōʻi)!
I ke aupuni hoʻohuli!

Ka māmakakaua!
(ʻOiai ua pohō !
Kūʻe i ka ʻenemi!
(O ka lāhui o Hawaiʻi)!
Ka māmakakaua!
(ʻAʻole poina ʻia)!
ʻAʻole poina ʻia!
(No ko lākou wiwoʻole)!
Aloha no nā Loialiki e!

Hui:
Ua ala a kūʻe!
(Ka māmakakaua)!
Kipū Lani e! (Nā Loialiki koa)!
Kūpaʻa mahope o ka ʻāina!
Aloha ʻāina hoʻi e!
Aloha ʻāina hoʻi e!



They arose and revolted! Revolted! Revolted!
That glorious company of warriors! Revolted!
They arose and revolted! Revolted! Revolted!
The Loyalist company of warriors! Revolted!
Revolted! Revolted

The company of warriors!
Courageous Loyalists!
Loyal to the chief!
The company of warriors!
The company of warriors!
Standing firmly behind!
Standing firmly behind!
The land!
They arose and revolted! Revolted!

The brave war leader!
Fearless Robert Wilcox!
With Robert Boyd!
And the Loyalist warriors!
The company of warriors! Strove, indeed!
To restore the rights of Kalākaua
The Loyalists! Revolted! Revolted!

The company of warriors!
With red shirts
Inside the grounds!
Of ʻIolani Palace!
The company of warriors!
Who fought bravely!
Against the enemy of the King!
Against the revolutionary government!

The company of warriors!
Though they failed
Against the enemy!
Of the Hawaiian nation!
The company of warriors!
Not forgotten!
Not forgotten!
For their bravery!
Great love for the Loyalists!

Chorus:
They arose and revolted!
The company of warriors!
Loyal to the King! The brave Loyalists!
Standing firmly behind the land!
Patriots, indeed!
Patriots, indeed!


Source: CD "Palani Vaughn's Best Vol.1"- July 6, 1887, the revolutionary Hawaiian League with an army of 500 haole sharpshooters called the Honolulu Rifles, forced King Kalâkaua to sign a revised version of the Hawaiian Constitution, known infamously as the Bayonet Constitution. This curtailed the power of the throne and made other changes which adversely affected the Hawaiian people, primarily, the right to vote in elections. The morning of June 30, 1889, approximately 80 part-Hawaiian warriors, tried to take possession of `Iolani Palace. Armed with 35 rifles, some farmer rice bird guns and a few pistols, they were led by Robert Kalanihiapo Wilcox, Robert N. Boyd and George Markham. The māmakakaua or company of warriors wamted to restore the rights and powers of their King. Auwē, they were defeated. The composer expresses the sentiment of the Hawaiian people as he pays tribute to the memory of those courageous red-shirted warriors who marched on ʻIolani Palace to defend their King against his enemies in the Hawaiian League.

mahina

(19,706 posts)
17. My Dad used to ride in the 40ʻs and sometimes the bus driver would say, "oh itʻs such a nice day, letʻs go beach!". So
Mon Apr 21, 2025, 08:41 PM
Monday

theyʻd pull over and go swimming. Can you imagine?

?si=YG9YWRa-syGvilwy
This song gets small kine naughty but itʻs all good.
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