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progree

(13,127 posts)
Sun Jul 12, 2026, 10:07 AM 5 hrs ago

This coming week's MarketWatch calendar (July 13-17). June CPI expected to be MINUS 0.2%

both the regular ("all items" ) CPI, and the core CPI (the core CPI doesn't have food or energy). Fuel prices have come down somewhat in June from the worst, affecting the regular CPI, but I'm surprised they are predicting a big decline in a measure that doesn't have energy prices (the core CPI). That's on Tuesday.

https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar

On Wednesday, they are predicting the regular producer price index, PPI (that's wholesale prices) to decline by 0.2%, while the core PPI is expected to INCREASE +0.3%.

Sometimes the people at Marketwatch make mistakes in putting this thing together. Also, I've often seen the Predicted change on some items too from earlier versions of the same calendar.

It's a very busy week with the two inflation measures (CPI, PPI), also retail sales, and consumer sentiment, to list the ones most often reported here at DU.

The 2 numbers on each line are Predicted (forecast) followed by Previous. There are no Actual's yet because I scraped the calendar before July 13.

MONDAY, JULY 13

2:00 pm Monthly U.S. federal budget June -$126.0B 27.01B

TUESDAY, JULY 14

6:00 am NFIB optimism index June 95.8 95.3
8:30 am Consumer price index June -0.2% 0.5%
8:30 am CPI year over year 3.8% 4.2%
8:30 am Core CPI June -0.2% 0.2%
8:30 am Core CPI year over year 2.8% 2.9%
So both the CPI and Core CPI are expected to go down by 0.2% month-over-month

WEDNESDAY, JULY 15

8:30 am Producer price index June -0.2% 1.1%
8:30 am Core PPI June 0.3% 0.8%
8:30 am PPI year over year -- 6.5%
8:30 am Core PPI year over year -- 5.1%
8:30 am Empire State manufacturing survey July 9.4 5.7
2:00 pm Fed Beige Book

THURSDAY, JULY 16

8:30 am U.S. retail sales June 0.2% 0.9%
8:30 am Retail sales minus autos June 0.0% 0.5%
8:30 am Initial jobless claims July 11 218.000 215,000
8:30 am Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey July 9.5 10.3
10:00 am Pending home sales June -0.1% 3.8%
10:00 am Business inventories May 0.3% 0.5%

FRIDAY, JULY 17

8:30 am Import price index June 0.8% 1.9%
8:30 am Import price index minus fuel June -- 0.8%
8:30 am Housing starts June 1.31 million 1.18 million
8:30 am Building permits June 1.41 million 1.41 million
9:15 am Industrial production June 0.3% 0.1%
9:15 am Capacity utilization June 76.3% 76.2
10:00 am Consumer sentiment (prelim) July 50.5 49.5
10:00 am Home builder confidence index July 35 35

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