Are Global Alliances Falling Apart Over Ukraine? - Silicon Curtain
Edition No243 | 07-09-2025 - Is the Coalition of the Willing Already Unravelling?
Europe promises a reassurance force for Ukraine someday while Moscow says any such troops would be legitimate targets for targeting and destruction. Meanwhile, trial-balloons about Chinese or even UN peacekeepers drift across the news cycle like other-worldly experimental weather balloons cut adrift. Global diplomacy resembles nothing more than some geopolitical Area 52 an absurd landscape full of rumours, secrets, conspiracies, and various unreal things.
Is this strategy of the absurd
or strategic stalling? Lets get into it.
The big Paris headline sounded impressive: French President Emmanuel Macron said twenty-six nations had pledged to provide post-war security guarantees to Ukraine, including an international force on land, at sea, and in the air. But theres one crucial detail that needs to be called out: post-war. The (theoretical) force deploys only the day after the conflict stops. (Reuters)
The Associated Press spelled it out: 26 of Ukraines allies have pledged to deploy troops as a reassurance force
once fighting ends. (AP, Sept. 4, 2025). Note the use of the phrase reassurance, rather than deterrence. It sounds non-committal and non-specific. Who is it reassuring, Western electorates and politicians themselves? Probably not the Ukrainians who have been hardened by Western weakness, betrayal and hypocrisy over the last two decades. Thats reassurance with a deferral clause, and one which lacks deterrence power for the country that matters, Russia.