June 14th may well be a breaking point

[Bernardo de La Paz]

11. I don't think June 14th will be violent except a few isolated spots. No excuse.

The difference between June 7 and June 14 is that June 7 in LA had a big reaction to ICE abductions.

June 14 is a day of generalized protest, planned well in advance. Many people will attend and about 99.99% have no interest in violence.

There will not be enough violence for tRump to have even a flimsy excuse to invoke the Insurrection Act. If he tried it would be seen through in an instant and would backfire on him. Even some maga would be against it. If 75% of the country is against invocation and 25% for, it will not succeed. It would lead to strong calls for impeachment and Vance and the cabinet would mutter about the 25th Amendment and might even act. I think even tRump can figure this out.

Even if the Voughts and Millers and Bonginos in the Executive like to think they can bullshit their way through massive overreach (they do like to think that way, hence the "shock and awe" blitz of Executive Orders) ... even so they will see that they can't bullshit their way into the appearance of an insurrection. Not without 90% of the public knowing it is bullshit because they will go to work Monday June 16 knowing there wasn't a big nationwide riot on Saturday.

Bullshit is self-limiting.