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pat_k

(12,984 posts)
6. "the exchanges don't seem to be tied to anything rational these days."
Sun Mar 1, 2026, 02:49 PM
21 hrs ago

Last edited Sun Mar 1, 2026, 04:09 PM - Edit history (1)

Artificially propped up by the Magnificent 10 (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, Broadcom, Palantir, AMD) and growing number of circular, incestuous deals -- and a massive influx of our tax dollars from the felon's regime.

No Mercy, No Malice
How Does the End Begin
October 17, 2025

https://www.profgalloway.com/how-does-the-end-begin/

The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 account for 40% of the index’s market cap. Since ChatGPT launched in November 2022, AI-related stocks have registered 75% of S&P 500 returns, 80% of earnings growth, and 90% of capital spending growth. Meanwhile, AI investments accounted for nearly 92% of the U.S. GDP growth this year. Without those AI investments, Harvard economist Jason Furman noted, growth would be flat. As Ruchir Sharma concluded in the Financial Times, “America is now one big bet on AI,” adding, “AI better deliver for the U.S., or its economy and markets will lose the one leg they are now standing on.” This concentration creates fragility, and how the end begins becomes more visible.
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The AI infrastructure build-out has accelerated recently with an estimated $1 trillion in new commitments. Some firms are making deals with money and assets that don’t yet exist. See: OpenAI promising Oracle $300 billion — money it doesn’t have — for infrastructure Oracle hasn’t built. In other cases, revenue comes from “circular financing,” where dollars rotate between firms, obscuring true market demand. See: Nvidia’s $100 billion investment in OpenAI, which OpenAI will use to buy … Nvidia chips. Circular financing deals were common toward the end of the dot-com bubble, when similar deals contributed to a crash that destroyed 77% of Nasdaq market value. If we are on the precipice of a bubble popping, Nvidia and OpenAI will likely be ground zero. But the fallout would be widespread, as an ecosystem that resembles an ouroboros lives and dies by a shared narrative.


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Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

"LOOK WHAT JOE BIDEN DID" durablend 22 hrs ago #1
Will it be Biden's fault again? Or will he reach all the way back to Obama? OGBuzz 22 hrs ago #2
I don't know Metaphorical 21 hrs ago #3
Futures market shows Dow dropping over 600 points Dave says 21 hrs ago #4
"the exchanges don't seem to be tied to anything rational these days." pat_k 21 hrs ago #6
And alarming how much of the AI infrstructure edhopper 20 hrs ago #11
True edhopper 20 hrs ago #10
No, they'll just lie and say the market is doing great. hamsterjill 21 hrs ago #5
On the bright side, a market downturn might actually shorten the war. tinrobot 21 hrs ago #7
Hard to say what the impact will be gulliver 20 hrs ago #8
As Of This Moment, Dow Futures Are Down 0.2% ProfessorGAC 20 hrs ago #9
I don't know Arthur_Frain 19 hrs ago #12
Oil up 10% edhopper 17 hrs ago #13
Looks like Greg_In_SF 1 hr ago #14
I guess edhopper 1 hr ago #15
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»I have a feeling that aft...»Reply #6