I have a theory. [View all]
First, I confess that I am a Mainer and I voted for Graham.
Now, to the theory. I believe Graham will win in a landslide against Collins. Below are some key points.
- Platner received over 152,000 votes, marking this the highest number of primary votes for any Democratic U.S. Senate candidate in Maine's history.
- His vote share surpassed that of all eight Republican candidates running for governor combined, even though Republicans saw their largest voter turnout since 1994.
- Platner won in every town in Maine except for three.
- He took about 72% of the votes in the Democratic primary.
In order for him too have performed this well, those who normally might not have voted for him, did - older women and younger women perhaps appalled by his behavior but able to bypass it considering the realities of a life lived hard. The utter dislike of Collins certainly helped.
I believe that in the general election, "light" MAGA men will vote for Graham. They will be able to identify with him and the life he has lived in Maine, maybe even with his "roughness." Their spouses and girlfriends will follow since that seems to be their tendency. I think even "normal" Republican women, being influenced by the men in their lives who I believe will support Graham, will vote for him. Certainly military members, current and past, will vote for him, identifying with his service to our country.
Lots of money has and will be thrown at this race to try to keep the seat. Collins has had it easy over the years. I wonder if she's up to what's coming her way.
Graham's quick, intelligent, well spoken and not afraid of a fight. Bring it on!