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In reply to the discussion: U.S. payrolls increased 139,000 in May, more than expected; unemployment at 4.2% [View all]Wiz Imp
(6,358 posts)15. One must always read to the end of the release to get the complete accurate picture of the new month's report.
Here is the last paragraph of the release.
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for March was revised down by 65,000, from
+185,000 to +120,000, and the change for April was revised down by 30,000, from +177,000 to
+147,000. With these revisions, employment in March and April combined is 95,000 lower than
previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from
businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the
recalculation of seasonal factors.)
+185,000 to +120,000, and the change for April was revised down by 30,000, from +177,000 to
+147,000. With these revisions, employment in March and April combined is 95,000 lower than
previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from
businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the
recalculation of seasonal factors.)
So the prior 2 months estimates were reduced by a combined 95,000. Meaning the actual increase in jobs for May over the previously reported April level was just 44,000.
This is a TERRIBLE report.
Note the average monthly job gain under 4 years (48 months) of Biden was 294,000. The average monthly gain under 4 months of Trump is 127,000.
Also note this report has still yet to reflect the massive layoffs of Federal employees. Since January, this report shows Federal Government employment down by just 59,000. I don't believe this is a dishonest number from BLS, but rather a byproduct of the way that OPM reports the data to the survey. Eventually those layoffs will show up and reflect a significant loss in Government Employment.
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U.S. payrolls increased 139,000 in May, more than expected; unemployment at 4.2% [View all]
BumRushDaShow
Jun 6
OP
These numbers? Yes. I worked on this program for 30+ years. I know people who still work on the program
Wiz Imp
Jun 6
#6
So we are relying on the good will of people who are most definitely not afraid of losing their job?
travelingthrulife
Jun 6
#14
Good Point. And those smaller sample sizes or lower response rates will certainly impact some BLS surveys.
Wiz Imp
Jun 6
#42
It may be more than expected, but that is not a good number. Anything under 150k is bad.
everyonematters
Jun 6
#3
JFC people, this is a +44,000 report, that is, with the 95,000 downward revisions of the previous 2 months, there are.
progree
Jun 6
#8
One must always read to the end of the release to get the complete accurate picture of the new month's report.
Wiz Imp
Jun 6
#15
Another solid report. America has more going for it than the whims of Donald Trump
mathematic
Jun 6
#22
LINKS to some BLS Data Series Numbers and Graphs. Coming soon: The labor force dropped by 625k, Employed down by 695k
progree
Jun 6
#23
Household Survey: Employed dropped by 696k, Labor force dropped by 625k, LFPR from 62.6% to 62.4%
progree
Jun 6
#26
My view, combing ADP and this report: resilience is fraying at the edges
Bernardo de La Paz
Jun 6
#28
I neglected the stimulus effect of "tax cuts" in the BBB, which are oversold, not needed, and costly
Bernardo de La Paz
Jun 6
#37
Investors are already looking to July's jobs report -- or even August's - Hamza Shaban, Yahoo Finance
progree
Jun 6
#29
No, this jobs report was released on the normal first Friday schedule. The one you may be thinking of is a farm trade
progree
Jun 6
#32