Human emissions drove the megadrought in the western U.S.

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https://www.colorado.edu/today/2025/08/14/human-emissions-drove-megadrought-western-us

Human emissions drove the megadrought in the western U.S.
8/14/2025 • By Yvaine Ye

Greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions from human activity have been driving the prolonged drought in the western United States through a complicated connection with the Pacific Ocean, according to a new CU Boulder-led study.

For more than two decades, an extreme dry spell has drained the Colorado River, devastated local farms, and intensified wildfires across the American Southwest. The new prediction, published August 13 in Nature, could help water managers region develop better water use plans or invest in infrastructure accordingly, with relief potentially still decades away.

“Our results show that the drought and ocean patterns we’re seeing today are not just natural fluctuations—they’re largely driven by human activity,” said Jeremy Klavans, postdoctoral researcher in CU Boulder’s Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and lead author of the study.

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As a result, scientists estimated that about 93% of the western United States is experiencing drought, with 70% facing severe dry conditions. Prior studies have shown that the past two decades have been the driest in the American Southwest in at least 1,200 years.

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Klavans, J.M., DiNezio, P.N., Clement, A.C. et al. Human emissions drive recent trends in North Pacific climate variations. Nature (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09368-2


(See related research: Relief From Drought in Southwest U.S. Likely Isn't Coming, According to New Research)