James Carville's "advice" helped give us Trump 2.0

[Self Esteem]

45. Nah.

65+ made up 28% of the voting electorate in 2024. Trump won this group 50-49.

In 2020, 65+ only made up 22% of the vote. Trump won this group 52-47.

So, not only was there a sizable bump of older voters in 2024 compared to 2020, Harris did six-points better than Biden in 2020.

The voters who stayed home were younger voters - or they marginally shifted to the right.

In 2020, 18-29 voters made up 17% of the electorate. Biden won this group 60-36.

In 2024, 18-29 voters made up 14% of voters and Harris won this group 54-43.

Democrats went +24 with this group in 2020 to just +11 in 2024.

That's why they lost.

And we know, based on polls, that Biden was hemorrhaging support from younger voters. Harris likely stopped some of that bleeding but it wasn't enough. Younger voters shifted hard to the right this last election, even if Harris still did "well".

Biden would have been cooked.

Regardless, the numbers suggest you're wrong about old people staying home. They saw an uptick from four years ago and even shifted more Democratic. But the younger voters came out less and those who did come out were more Trump friendly than in 2020.