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dsc

(53,096 posts)
7. Neither side can realistically gerrymander away all of the other party in most states
Wed Aug 13, 2025, 05:12 PM
Aug 13

Take NC, which for the purposes of this, is a red state as the governor has no role whatsoever in redistricting. Currently we are 10 to 4 in favor of the GOP. But the GOP can't get all four of those seats. Three of them are Democratic vote sinks (plus 17, plus 23, and plus 24). The plus 23 is also a VRA district meaning its removal would trigger a lawsuit and possible injunction. They could target the other district which is R plus 1. But it is also a vestige VRA district and is actually currently the subject of a suit now. A redrawing could well trigger an injunction. Illinois is similar from our perspective. The three districts are all plus double digit GOP and surrounded by districts which are plus single digit Dem.

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