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Fiendish Thingy

(20,982 posts)
8. Despite gerrymandering, the odds are in Dems favor
Sun Oct 12, 2025, 12:07 PM
Sunday

Current generic ballot polling show Dems with a 4-7 point lead over republicans- they only need 2.5-3% to overcome the 5 seat GOP net gain (assuming prop 50 passes in CA) from gerrymandering.

So, a five seat gain from gerrymandering, plus the current two seat majority means Dems have to flip 8 seats to retake the house.

Current projections are for Dem gains of 20-30 seats, without considering that the economy will almost certainly be in recession by this time next year. Combined with the healthcare cuts, the suffering of the American middle class, poor and seniors will be widespread and cut across all racial and political boundaries.

It could be a great unifying force against Trump.

Reminder: in 2018, Dems gained 40 seats.

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